Thursday, June 16, 2005

come to think about it, how does the home court advantage favor in the nba finals? let's not even think about how it's playing out this year; i'm thinking about how it works for all around; the nba finals set is a lot more different than the other best-of-7 series on the road there:

top seed: 2 games, then lower seed: 2 games, then top seed 1 game, lower seed 1 game, then top seed 1 game.

but in the finals:

2 games @west, followed by three games @east, then 2 games @west.

just looking at this, it would seem that statistics favor the west, due to the game 7, esp if games go back and forth. but wait! the east has THREE straight games at home! in the middle of the set, where they'll have a pretty good idea of how the west plays! if you took just one away game before game 3, you could very well wrap this thing up if you won three straight at home, esp if you seem to play about 200% better @home! that's what the pistons did last year; they surprised the world and won 1 game away, came really close 2nd, but no worries; they went home, and then became one of the first teams to win all 3 games @home and close this thing.

so i'm wondering just how the nba finals matchup favors who. west has the seventh game. but they have to play 3 straight on the road, in the middle of the series, which has the potential to really dent them w/no games to chance. then the east it seems would have 2 chances to get 1 win. on the other hand, if a series is streaky, then the west is favored; y'kno, if games are almost equally won on the road and at home.

granted, home games aren't automatic wins... but then again, if your average road win is by about 5 pts or so, and your home wins are by 20 pts or so...

this weather's so streaky...

No comments: